The 15 percent delegate allocation rule & Super Tuesday

Bernie Sanders may get virtually all of the delegates in California and a very large proportion in Texas on Super Tuesday with around 30 percent of the popular vote because of the 15 percent delegate allocation rule and the large number of candidates still in the race. The movement of the California primary from June to Super Tuesday has accelerated the nominating contest and may result in selection of a candidate opposed by 60 percent of the party.

Statistical Analysis of Likely Super Tuesday Outcomes